IMAGINE that you are a contestant in a Game Show whose prize is a cool $1 million.
An Olympic-sized swimming pool is filled with a pre-arranged mixture of regulation billiard balls (colored and numbered 1 to 15) and white cue balls. The object of the Game is to guess how many white cue balls there are. It has been announced that the TOTAL NUMBER of balls whether white or colored is exactly 100 million.
Contestants are given exactly one hour during which they can perform any physical, mental or statistical inspections on the collection of billiard balls. They are allowed pencil, paper and a computer with an Internet connection. Rulers, clocks, weighing scales, cameras, cell phones are also available. The winner is the contestant who comes closest to the correct answer in one hour.
What do you think is the best strategy to win the $1 million prize?
[NOTE: There is no "correct" answer, but participating in this exercise could change the way you look at and interpret public opinion surveys such as the recent Pulse Asia Inc. Ulat ng Bayan national survey on charter change, or this one on political scenarios. ]