Friday, May 24, 2013

Comparison of the Final SWS Pre-Election Survey and the Official Tally






Strictly Speaking, the Social Weather Stations Survey of 2-3 May 2013--its Final Pre-election survey of 2400 randomly sampled registered voters--correctly predicted the final RANKING of only 3 out of the 33 Senatorial Candidates (though it correctly predicted the composition of the Magic 12). 

SWS
SURVEY

SWS
RANKING

HITS

COMELEC
RANKING

VOTES
FOR SENATOR

57

LEGARDA

0

POE

20147423

50

CAYETANO

0

LEGARDA

18482961

48

BINAY

0

CAYETANO

17408543

48

ESCUDERO

1

ESCUDERO

17332952

45

POE

0

BINAY

16645515

44

EJERCITO

0

ANGARA

15858995

44

VILLAR

0

AQUINO

15388992

43

PIMENTEL

1

PIMENTEL

14584612

41

AQUINO

0

TRILLANES

13995603

38

ANGARA

0

VILLAR

13696120

38

TRILLANES

0

EJERCITO

13552991

37

HONASAN

1

HONASAN

13070031

35

ENRILE

0

GORDON

12364091

33

JMAGSAYSAY

0

ZUBIRI

11707146

33

ZUBIRI

0

ENRILE

11419246

29

HONTIVEROS

0

MAGSAYSAY

11252335

27

GORDON

0

HONTIVEROS

10840047

25

MADRIGAL

0

HAGEDORN

8323835

16

HAGEDORN

0

VILLANUEVA

6868774

15

VILLANUEVA

0

MADRIGAL

6727877

14

MACEDA

0

MAGSAYSAY

5569077

13

MMAGSAYSAY

0

CASINO

4254245

11

COJUANGCO

0

MACEDA

3388936

9

CASINO

0

COJUANGCO

3091642

4

MONTANO

0

ALCANTARA

1227521

3

ALCANTARA

0

DELOS
REYES

1226470

3

DELOSREYES

0

BELGICA

1118829

3

DAVID

0

PENSON

1030107

2

PENSON

0

MONTANO

1029439

2

FALCONE

0

DAVID

1026096

2

LLASOS

0

SENERES

698440

2

BELGICA

0

LLASOS

695260

1

SENERES

0

FALCONE

659073

SWS
SURVEY of 2400 voters

2,3 May

HIT
RATIO

3/33

COMELEC
CANVAS #16

ACTUAL
VOTES WON